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Security & Diplomacy

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Syria and Balancing: A Case Study in Great Power Politics

In line with a series of disruptions in the Middle East, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s (HTS) overthrow of the Assad regime remains important. Now in power after winning the civil war, former al-Qaeda operative and HTS leader Ahmed al-Sharaa is presented with the challenge of not only rebuilding Syria but also its foreign policy strategy. Most interestingly, Syria’s geographic position and resource wealth have placed the country on a tightrope, requiring it to balance between regional powers, such as Israel and Turkey, and great powers, like the United States and Russia. All of Syria’s neighbors have competing goals, especially regarding the treatment of various Syrian minorities, which further complicates al-Sharaa’s balancing act. Understanding how al-Sharaa navigates this complicated position and executes a new foreign policy sheds light on the role of global and regional powers in the Middle East.

Commentary by Max Franz Knight
8/19/2026
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The Iran War and Energy Volatility: A Discussion with Scott Montgomery 
Interview by Nick Tselikov
5/17/2026
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The Iran War and U.S. Grand Strategy in the Middle East: A Discussion with Dr. Daniel Bessner
Interview by Nick Tselikov
4/22/2026


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A Conversation On Diplomacy, Public Service, and Its Future with Former Career Diplomat John Johnson

​John Johnson is a former diplomat and career senior foreign service officer who served for over two decades in the US State Department. In our conversation, Mr. Johnson highlighted many constants and changes within the State Department and discussed many current and future challenges faced by the next generation of the United States Foreign Service. ​

Interview by Nikita Nikishin & David Baker
1/26/2026

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Barriers to UAV Arms Control

The international community must act quickly to prevent the proliferation of UAV technology, systems, and components, or risk non-state actors incorporating the technology into their toolkit. However, the UAV problem may be too large or too late for effective arms control. 

Brief ​by Nikita Nikishin
1/24/2026

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Solutions to the UK's Vulnerable Integrated Air Missile Defense

In order to secure its skies, the UK must develop new Integrated Air Missile Defense capabilities that are less reliant on an ambivalent US-led NATO. 
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Policy Recommendation by William Barclay
12/8/2025

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Avoiding Entanglement with Azerbaijan: Recommendations for US and Allied Foreign Policy in the South Caucasus

As wars rage in the Middle East and Europe, the South Caucasus has emerged as an important area for powers in both regions to maneuver against their adversaries. ​
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Policy Analysis & Recommendation by Nick Tselikov
11/8/2025​

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Updating Space Law for the 21st Century

 The current landscape of space weaponization requires new space treaties to keep pace with a rapidly commercializing and technologically evolving environment to ensure peace in outer space.
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Commentary by David Baker
10/29/2025​

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Small UAVs Will Empower Non-State Actors, Posing New Threats to State Legitimacy

The low cost and high capabilities provided by advances in Unmanned Aerial Vehicles can enable non-state actors to strike at unprotected state infrastructure with impunity and would be an effective tool for weakening and delegitimizing embattled governments. 
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Commentary by Nikita Nikishin
6/24/2025​

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The AUKUS Deal and Australia’s Unique Role in Strengthening Deterrence in the Indo-Pacific

Australia is well placed to fill a strategic void in the United States-led coalition against the PRC through the AUKUS deal.
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Commentary by David Baker
6/24/2025

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The State of US-China-Taiwan Relations: A Discussion with Dr. David Bachman

Dr. David Bachman discusses the current state of US-China-Taiwan relations, highlighting Beijing’s growing pressure on Taiwan through economic incentives, military posturing, and information influence. ​

Interview by Nick Tselikov
4/21/2025

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The Future of Poland’s Foreign Policy Under Tusk

With the emergence of Tusk and the retreat of Euroscepticism in Poland, the country is gearing itself to be a regional leader in the new security paradigm instigated by the Ukraine War. 


Commentary by Luke Park & Caleb Chan
5/29/2024

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The Homegrown Threat to U.S. Security

In a conflict-ridden world shaped by dwindling American dominance, the US military-industrial complex needs to be ready for tests that it can’t pass right now. 


Commentary by Jack Such
4/29/2024

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​Transitioning Amongst Chaos: Haiti’s Hope for a Better Future

This policy brief examines Haiti's ongoing humanitarian and political crisis, attributing it to weak governance, gang violence, and ineffective past interventions, and proposes five people-centered strategies to foster a stable future for the country.
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​Policy Recommendation by Raj Kumar
2/1/2023

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ASEAN’s Role in Defining The UK’s
​Indo-Pacific Ambitions


​This policy analysis explores how the UK's strategic ambitions in the Indo-Pacific hinge on deepening diplomatic, economic, and security ties with ASEAN, leveraging historical connections and shared commitments to a rules-based order to counterbalance China's regional influence.
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Commentary by Max Cheung
1/27/2023

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Interethnic Conflict Lives on in Post-Tigray Ethiopia
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After winning the war in the Tigray Region, Addis Ababa now faces a more-daunting challenge: keeping the peace.
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Commentary by Tam Nguyen
1/24/2023

Mission Statement

Analyzing the foreign policy tools of nations in peace and war

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RESEARCH FOCUS: THE FUTURE OF U.S. SECURITY IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC AND IMPLICATIONS BEYOND
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The Western Pacific is a region that is indispensable to U.S. as well as global interests. The area accounts for half of the world economy based on purchasing power parity and is projected to substantially increase throughout the 21st century. The presence of critical military supply chains, trade, security, and great power competition will continue to be critical for U.S. grand strategy in the long term.

Rainier Institute’s Department of Security and Diplomacy’s 2026-2027 focus will take these considerations into account. We will concentrate on analyzing U.S. security initiatives vis-à-vis the Western Pacific as well as on regional U.S. policies more broadly. We will additionally emphasize analyses of Chinese grand strategy as well as the military policies of U.S. regional allies. Understanding these developments will be central to achieving strategic deterrence as well as the prevention of large-scale hostilities.

We will dedicate secondary focus to great power competition in the Middle East, Europe, the South Caucasus, and Latin America. Gaining insight into the diplomatic and security affairs of these regions will aid in advancing U.S. national interests and will illustrate more paths to securing international stability.

Contact for Inquiries
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[email protected]

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  • Home
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